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Jul 31, 2025

Australian Retail Turnover Rose 0.5 Per Cent in July 2025

Australian retail turnover rose 0.5 per cent in July 2025

 

Australia's retail sales unexpectedly rebounded strongly in July, indicating that consumer spending remains resilient despite the Australian Federal Reserve's 12 interest rate hikes.

 

Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Monday showed that retail sales rose by 0.5 percent in July compared to a year earlier, surpassing expectations of a 0.3 percent increase. This growth was primarily driven by the non-food sector.

 

Ben Dorber, head of retail statistics at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, stated, "Increased spending on catering and takeaway related to the 2023 Women's World Cup and school holidays contributed to the growth in July."

 

The robust household spending contrasts with subdued consumer confidence and raises questions about whether the Australian Federal Reserve needs to take further action to curb demand and control prices. Policymakers will now focus on Wednesday's monthly inflation data in preparation for the September policy meeting scheduled for next week.

 

Earlier this month, the Australian Federal Reserve maintained its cash rate at 4.1 percent to assess the impact of its rapid rate hikes since May 2022, while not ruling out the possibility of further tightening. Given that consumption accounts for about 60 percent of Australia's GDP, retail sales are a key factor in determining interest rates.

 

Retail Trade, Australia

Monthly and quarterly estimates of turnover and volumes for retail businesses, including store and online sales.

Reference period June 2025

 

Turnover at current prices

Turnover at current prices
  Jun-2025 ($m) May-2025 to Jun-2025 (% change) Jun-2024 to Jun-2025 (% change)
Trend 37,676.3 0.4 4.2
Seasonally adjusted 37,906.6 1.2 4.9

 

Turnover in volume terms

Turnover in volume terms
  June Qtr 2025 ($m) March Qtr 2025 to June Qtr 2025 (% change) June Qtr 2024 to June Qtr 2025 (% change)
Trend 106,038.5 0.3 1.5
Seasonally adjusted 106,008.5 0.3 1.5

 

Total retail turnover

Monthly turnover, current prices - seasonally adjusted estimate

Monthly turnover current prices - seasonally adjusted estimate

Total retail turnover - level, current prices

 

Total retail turnover - level current prices

Monthly turnover, current prices, by industry - percentage change from previous month

Monthly turnover current prices by industry - percentage change from previous month

 

Monthly turnover, current prices, by state and territory - percentage change from previous month

 

Monthly turnover current prices by state and territory - percentage change from previous month

Analysis by industry

Food retailing

Food retailing rose 0.9% ($137.5m) in June, in seasonally adjusted terms.

By industry subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate:

rose 1.2% ($142.5m) for Supermarket and grocery stores.

fell 0.1% (-$1.4m) for Other specialised food retailing.

fell 0.2% (-$3.5m) for Liquor retailing.

 

Food retailing

Food retailing

Household goods retailing

Household goods retailing rose 2.3% ($138.3m) in June, in seasonally adjusted terms.

By industry subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate:

rose 3.9% ($84.4m) for Electrical and electronic goods retailing.

rose 3.0% ($47.7m) for Furniture, floor coverings, houseware and textile goods retailing.

rose 0.3% ($6.2m) for Hardware, building and garden supplies retailing.

Household goods retailing

Household goods retailing

 

Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing

Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing rose 1.5% ($47.0m) in June, in seasonally adjusted terms.

By industry subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate:

rose 2.0% ($42.7m) for Clothing retailing.

rose 0.4% ($4.3m) for Footwear and other personal accessory retailing.

Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing

Clothing footwear and personal accessory retailing

Department stores

Department stores rose 1.9% ($36.6m) in June, in seasonally adjusted terms.

Department stores

Department stores

Other retailing

Other retailing rose 1.9% ($114.1m) in June, in seasonally adjusted terms.

By industry subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate:

rose 2.4% ($63.7m) for Other retailing n.e.c..

rose 4.9% ($32.1m) for Other recreational goods retailing.

rose 0.7% ($17.9m) for Pharmaceutical, cosmetic and toiletry goods retailing.

rose 0.2% ($0.4m) for Newspaper and book retailing.

Other retailing

Other retailing

Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services

Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services fell 0.4% (-$24.5m) in June, in seasonally adjusted terms.

By industry subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate:

fell 0.6% (-$21.4m) for Cafes, restaurants and catering services.

fell 0.1% (-$3.2m) for Takeaway food services.

Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services

Cafes restaurants and takeaway food services

Online retailing

Total online retailing sales were $4,703.8m in June 2025, in seasonally adjusted terms. Seasonally adjusted online sales rose 3.9% ($175.4m), following a rise of 0.2% ($9.5m) in May 2025. Seasonally adjusted through-the-year sales are up 13.0% ($542.1m).

Original online sales rose 5.6% ($246.6m) in June 2025 compared to a fall of 1.5% (-$555.2m) in original total sales.

Total online, original and seasonally adjusted

Total online original and seasonally adjusted

In June 2025, food online sales were $1,449.9m and non-food online sales were $3,253.9m, in seasonally adjusted terms. Food sales rose 2.5% ($35.0m), and non-food rose 4.5% ($140.5m), seasonally adjusted.

Online sales, Food and Non-Food, seasonally adjusted

 

Online sales Food and Non-Food seasonally adjusted

In original terms, the proportion of online food retailing sales to total food retailing rose from 6.9% to 7.2%. The proportion for online non-food retailing sales to total non-food retailing rose from 17.9% to 19.0%.

In original terms, the proportion of online sales to total retailing rose from 11.9% to 12.7%. This compares to 11.6% in June 2024.

Proportion of industry group turnover online, original

Proportion of industry group turnover online original

Additional notes regarding the online sales series can be found in the Methodology.

Quarterly retail turnover

Quarterly turnover, in volume terms - seasonally adjusted estimate

Quarterly turnover in volume terms - seasonally adjusted estimate

Per capita retail volumes

Retail volumes on a per capita basis fell 0.1% (-$2.1), following a fall last quarter of 0.4% (-$14.8) after having increased 0.4% ($16.6) in December quarter 2024. The rise in the December quarter 2024 is the the only per capita rise over the past three years. The fall this quarter now sees retail spending on a per person basis down 0.1% (-$4.2) compared to this time last year.

Having peaked in the June quarter 2022, retail volumes per capita are down 6.0% (-$244.7) since the peak, but remains up 3.2% ($118.4) compared to the December quarter 2019, the last quarter prior to the pandemic-period.

Retail turnover per capita, in volume terms - level

Retail turnover per capita in volume terms - level

 

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